March 17, 2024
¿Hay posibilidad de que haya un apagón en Colombia?

El mundo atraviesa por una etapa preocupante del calentamiento global y eso ha traído una ola seca y de calor en Colombia, lo que preocupa a las empresas generadoras eléctricas. ¿Es posible un apagón eléctrico en el país?, ¿por qué el servicio eléctrico ha subido su precio?
Para este capítulo hablamos con Angélica Gómez, periodista y cofundadora de Economía para la pipol; con Erasmo Zuleta, Gobernador de Córdoba; con Omar Prias, director de la Comisión Reguladora de Energía y Gas, CREG; y con Natalia Gutiérrez, presidenta de la Asociación Colombiana de Generadores de Energía (Acolgen).
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The day to day is full of
urgent news, noise, polemics and fanfare.
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But for the quietness, the analysis
and what we like to call slow
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- cooking journalism are my questions,
an average rush program made by KFAM inspiring
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smiles. The world is going through
a worrying stage of global warming, and
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that has brought a dry and heat
wave in Colombia. What concerns the power
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generating companies. An electric power outage
is possible in the country. Why the
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electric service has raised its price for
this chapter. We spoke with Angélica Gómez,
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journalist and co- founder of Economy
for the People, with Erasmozuleta,
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Governor of Córdoba, with Omar Prias, director of the Regulatory Commission for Energy
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and Gas Creck, and with Natalia
Gutierrez, President of the Colombian Sondas and
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power generators to Colgén. I'
m Roberto Pombo. Welcome to chapter seventy
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- nine of my questions. I' m a fan of the unexpected consequences.
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I will be more precise situations inventions
or revolutions that result from an event
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that has little to do with it. Some call it a maripous effect.
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I' m going to tell you
a couple who marvel at me and surprise
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you today. The Camambert and Rockefort
are a couple of French cheeses very controversial
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because of their taste, which have
the certificate of origin denomination i e they
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must be made under certain very specific
standards, and one of them is the
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origin of the products with which they
are prepared. Then it can only be
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said that a Skamamberg or Rockefort cheese
is ripened in the cellars near Roquefort Sursson,
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south of Abeirón, Occitania, this
means that only a few giant manufacturers
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now have almost the monopoly of cheese
production, which in turn has diminished the
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diversity of microorganisms in fungi used to
mature the product, i e the longo
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vinicillum. Roqueforti, that is,
the law of designation of origin that was
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established in one thousand nine hundred and
twenty- five, is about to cause
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a type of fungi to die out
along with a couple of cheese species and
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a closer example. And clear of
this butterfly effect, one of the most
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heard and still on the air radio
programs. The firefly would not have been
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possible, but one of the crudest
child phenomena in the history of Colombia was
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March of one thousand nine hundred ninety- two and the low water level in
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the reservoirs the overruns of the mega
hydro- elastic project of the Guabio,
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the assessment of the peso against the
dollar, during all the crisis of electricity
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interconnection, whether that led the country
to a situation of insufficient electricity. All
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this took place at that time,
President César Gaviria, to decree a blackout,
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that is, a nine- hour
power outage in Bogotá, ten hours
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in six departments of the Atlantic coast
and up to eighteen hours daily in San
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Andrés and Providencia. It was these
nights without electricity and, consequently, without
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television, that led to the birth
of a program to accompany Colombians in the
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dark. Once back to normal power
supply. The program continues until today from
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January of one thousand nine hundred and
ninety- three, when it ended.
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The country has not experienced a blackout
or an energy crisis. However, a
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few months ago, while the country
and the planet were going through a heat
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crisis and a child phenomenon that hit
the country heavily, the ghost of a
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possible blackout appeared in various media and
in the warnings of experts and energy-
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generating companies. In October last year, the S S S S Ons,
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newspapers, news and Internet pages asked
themselves the same question. There' s
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a risk of a blackout. Those
of us who live what happened thirty-
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one years ago are set off a
kind of alarm inside our being We are
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scared of that possibility and I don' t even want to imagine the younger
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ones having to live hours without electricity
and with the cell phone downloaded. The
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answer to the question is not accurate
and is full of quite a few conditionals.
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However, the first thing I thought
about was the very origin of the
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question, that is, why there
is a possibility that that would happen.
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The explanations are several and all add
up to fuel fear and headlines. The
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first applies to almost any sector of
the world economy and is the effect that
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the invasion of Russia Ukraine had on
the cost of gas and on the coal
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market. According to experts, weight
assessment has also influenced, even though it
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has recovered a little. Of course, the drought that across the country at
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that time and that had the levels
of the reservoirs in red numbers financial problems
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of the companies that are along the
entire chain of generation and distribution of energy.
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But what has been pointed out by
several of these actors as one of
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the most crucial elements are the problems
facing new energy generation projects in order to
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become operational. So, since this
is what is known as a multifactorial problem,
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that is, it has several reasons, we' re going to go
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looking at them in parts. Problems
in the energy sector did not start only
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one or two years ago. It
has been a chain of decisions and factors,
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but the most affected, as we
have almost always been the users.
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We are going back a few years
to that sad time of the pandemic.
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In two thousand twenty, President Iván
Duque implemented what is known as a tariff
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option, a mechanism to help alleviate
the abrupt increase in the electricity tariff through
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the accumulation of exits, which the
user will then pay in a wider period
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during the pandemic. The then President
issued Decree Five hundred and seventeen urging the
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Regulatory Commission for Energy and Gas CREK
to have temporary and extraordinary special schemes to
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defer payment of electricity bills for the
covid 19 pandemic. This meant that residents
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of tier one and tier two homes
could defer their electricity and fuel gas payments
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for up to thirty- six months. However, this measure has not been
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invented by the former Duke President since
a thousand nine hundred and ninety- four
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and has been used by other presidents
such asÃlvaro UrÃo and Juan Manuel Santos.
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However, the last time the measure
was used was the one that caused
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a stir from power generators and distributors
to President Petro himself have reacted. Why
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I' m going to try and
explain it. It happened that several electricity
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trading companies had to maintain this option
of deferred payments to installments as an option
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of payment, even after January of
two thousand twenty- two, until when
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it governed the mechanism. According to
Medio Colombia Check, the director of the
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energy engineering program of the Universidad Autónoma
de Bucaramanga César acevedo the measure was applied
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interchangeably by energy marketers as long as
the user did not state that he did
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not want to accept it. And
so far you will wonder how this affected
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the finances of the electricity distribution companies. Well, since I am an expert,
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I looked for Angélica Gómez, a
journalist who founded economics for the Peopul
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to explain to me and this told
me good. The tariff option is a
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mechanism that has been established in public
services for several decades and that is used
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in times of emergency to avoid precisely
situations such as the one of one thousand
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nine hundred ninety- two thousand nine
hundred ninety- three s NS. I
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' ll pay you in electric.
In this opportunity it was applied in two
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thousand twenty in the pandemic to prevent
a greater impact on the finances of Colombian
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households and in what I derive that
was in a big debts that the companies
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have or rather that we have the
consumers with the companies. That' s
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calculated at about five billion at the
moment alone for the Caribbean Coast is two
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five billion pesos and what it does
is add the financial pressure to companies to
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face situations like the one we'
re living now, the child phenomenon,
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which is a time of more expensive
energy, that companies must buy and distribute
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and then charge people and, at
the same time, continue to make the
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investments they need. The network to
stay in good condition and that the quality
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of service in most of the country
is maintained as it is in other regions,
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such as the Caribbean, as it
continues to improve. In August last
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year, when the phenomenon of the
child and the intense heat put the reservoir
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water reserves in red numbers, the
Colombian Association of Electrical Energy Distributors to SOCODIS
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warned in a letter from the Minister
of Miles de EnergÃa, Andrés Camacho,
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and the director of the Energy and
Gas Regulatory Commission, José Fernando Prada,
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that these financial problems of energy distribution
companies are derived from the tariff option and
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other debts of state entities that are
estimated at two billion pesos that aggravate the
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demand in cash flow and liquidity.
What came next, of course, more
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than looking for a solution, was
to look for a culprit and former President
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Duque, Diego Mesa' s former
Minister of Energy Mines and President Petro began
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a discussion by throwing the hot Pope
at each other. The fight was like
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that. He first attacked President Petro, who on his x account wrote a
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long publication that the Presidency then resumed
as a press release. I will read
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only a few layers to Euro Comillas. Fare action was created by Duque,
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in a similar way as he did
with the deficit and the gasoline fund,
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but in electrical energy. It decided
lower electricity rates than it should normally charge
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in covid times but it did so
not from the utilities of the electricity sector,
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but as a debt of users that
accumulated and that must now pay quotes.
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In addition, he said that energy
marketing companies are, for the most
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part, public and to pay them
they expect the Government to go up the
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tariffs above what should be charged to
users normally, but in times of the
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child phenomenon. The former Minister Mesa, for his part, replied that at
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the end of his portfolio he had
paid all the debts for subsidies caused by
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two thousand twenty- two thousand twenty- one for a value of approximately eight
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four million pesos. He also added
that until July thirty- one of two
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thousand twenty- two, the balance
of subsidius of electricity was five hundred seventy
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- four zero million pesos and not
five billion pesos, as was to be
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believed. The former president Duque did
not stand still, although his response,
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also through his account of x more
than an argument, was an indirect and
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he repeated the publication of the supply
of mines with the message brocomillas to the
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smoke curtains of populism. Once again, the truth gives them a lesson The
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marketers are being broken by populism.
But, as the magazine Cambio explains,
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those payments that the former Minister Mesa
says, which were made, are part
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of the Ministry' s budget of
billions of energy and are made by mandate
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of the law. The five million
pesos that are at financial risk to energy
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distributors are part of the debt left
by the tariff option and that the previous
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government did not pay. However,
I think that the former President Duque had
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no choice other than to apply the
tariff option. All this meant that,
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in addition to a possible blackout,
an increase in the energy bill of all
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users was going to happen. The
Cret' s response was the publication for
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comments of the draft resolution to intervene
the prisoners of energy on the stock exchange
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during the phenomenon of the child,
who sought quotation marks, to prevent the
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abuse of the dominant position of generators
participating in the energy exchange and the consequent
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formation of an inefficient exchange price I
close quotation marks. However, the criticisms
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did not wait, according to Alejandro
Lucio, director of Optimal Consultores Aurocomillas,
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told Portfolio Alejandro Lucio, a price
control that, regardless of whether it seeks
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to favor users, what it will
do is to exhaust the water reserves to
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the bad ones and substantially increase the
risk of rationing I close quotes. At
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this time, this decree has not
been implemented. However, the CREG said
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that it has not archived it and
continues to study it. This is also
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a rather entangled subject. That'
s why Ana Tal Gutierrez, president of
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the Colombian Suso of Energy Generators,
called me to colqué for what she told
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me, why the decree of the
CREE to regulate the price of energy is
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inconvenient. This answered me. We
are at a time where there is a
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lot of uncertainty and where we have
to build confidence again. The first thing
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is to have a Creo that works, because it has been the proactive regulation
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of this sector that has allowed us
not to shut down. But, moreover,
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it is very important that there are
signs of medium- and long-
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term public policy and norms to give
us investor confidence. The approach to the
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amendment of the law one hundred and
forty- two and one hundred and forty
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- three is worrying, because the
stakes to be made in this sector are
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very long- term and if there
is no certainty under which rules they will
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make it, it is very difficult
to make these investments. Now add all
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the measures that have diminished the benefits
of non- conventional renewables and add to
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this that projects that were planned and
auctioned have not entered. The medium-
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term energy auction seems to have been
cut short. Then we also call for
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a review of energy balances to ensure
the attention of demand and give the signals
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of public policy so that the generation
park expands and can maintain demand, which
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is growing in an important way in
the country. Complaints about the price of
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energy service in Colombia have been a
constant, especially on the coast, but
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since last year the increase has been
noticed more. In September of two thousand
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twenty- three, the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development( OCTE) published
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figures on energy inflation for the month
of July of that year, in which
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Colombia appears as the second country with
the highest inflation twenty- two comma three
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percent and Hungary is the first.
President Petro reacted to this data and said
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that I open Comillas is really a
transfer of wealth from the bagels, from
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all Colombians and from the entire productive
economy to six generators and two distributors rewarded
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by a formula of the CREK absurdly
abushiva close Comillas. Paradoxically, according to
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the Atlantic Intergremial Committee, the decree
of the crecte that we have just talked
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about would end up increasing by twenty- five percent of the energy tariffs on
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the Colombian Caribbean coast. For its
part, the Colombian Association of Large Energy,
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Industrial and Commercial Consumers warned that the
decree would end up transferring to consumers
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and users of the energy system a
millionaire on cost of two four million pesos.
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To the measure was also opposed the
league of users of public services of
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the Caribbean. In fact, in
November last year, the counteroria expressed its
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concern about the institutional vacuum of the
CREC due to the lack of expert commissioners,
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which puts the Commission at imminent risk
of blacking out institution and could end
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up affecting public finances and users'
pockets. In Cristiano it means that the
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prices of the electricity will rise.
About a month and a half ago,
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a decision of the Administrative Court of
Cundinamarca ordered the Government to appoint the six
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expert commissioners that make up the Commission
within no more than thirty days Today,
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the Government has appointed four experts,
but only one of them on property.
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Without these experts being appointed and taking
up their duties, the Commission cannot take
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such important decisions as to avoid,
for example, an event of blackout or
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an imminent rise in service prices in
the face of the child. The concern
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about the rise in the price of
energy is such that even the Attorney General
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got into the issue in her intervention
at the event fair rates for the Caribbean.
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In January of this year he said
you abrocomillas. Energy tariffs in this
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area of the country will be fair
when charity services are provided at a rational
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cost and without discrimination, which will
only be possible when there is an inter
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- institutional unit that allows a balance
between economic sustainability and meeting the region'
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s energy needs. I' m
closing Comillas. Let' s hear what
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the solicitor said about the creck and
the energy prices on the coast. How
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many times all the citizens of the
Caribbean Coast have not contributed in any way
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to some great works at the national
level. Bogota Metro, Medellin Metro,
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and we could say many more good
situations for the country, where the whole
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country has contributed for the benefit of
a good work for a certain region.
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But how painful it may be that
once that solidarity is towards the Caribbean Coast,
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and what happens on the Caribbean Coast
is a case apart, because they
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are the most affected by the high
energy service and the most threatened by a
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possible blackout. A few days ago, the governor of the Atlantic, Eduardo
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Verano, referred to that problem and
proposed that the invoices of Aire and Afinia
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companies, which today the end users
assume, should be excluded. The Governor
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also stated that it was not negotiated
and that no sensible person would have accepted
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that the chorus of such losses should
be billed to the public. This is
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an old and complex problem that needs
to be addressed differently from the rest of
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the country. In other words,
the problem of energy costs on the coast
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must be solved as a case of
solidarity and it must be the State that
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finances and the high costs and,
in the midst of everything, this pull
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and loosen in which everyone wants fair
rates and fair payments. Atlántico, Magdalena,
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Guajira, César, Córdoba and Sucre
submitted a right of petition to the
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superintendence of services, with which they
seek to sue the tariff formula established by
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the CREE. In response, according
to them, to the cry of the
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people of the Costa for social justice, we seek Omar PrÃas, director of
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the CREC, to answer what must
be done so that the end users are
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not the ones who receive the energy
price sauces. That' s what he
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said. The first thing we need
to know is that in many regions electricity
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services with charges that have nothing to
do with service are included in bills.
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For example, in some municipalities public
lighting is charged and we charge for aspects
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of citizen security, toilet, aqueduct, choirs, electo, domesticos, seguros,
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00:19:38.759 --> 00:19:42.880
funerarios. In short, some things
that are not of the service of
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energy and that can influence the imagination
of people believing that the invoice is only
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of the service of electricity. A
recent measure of the crez may have the
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rates salsas for opsuntarifaria. It is
also true that electricity companies have made long
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- term contrarys in order not to
expose users to fluctuations in the stock exchange.
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He believes her. It has a
plan to review all components of the
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cost of the fee to look for
possible exchange factors to reduce electricity service bills.
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I also looked for the Governor of
Cordoba. You were musulette to ask
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why the Colombian coast needs differential energy
prices. This one answered me to the
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Caribbean Coast, but in particular,
our department of Cordoba must have differential rates
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in electricity or adjust the approved tariff
structure to the operator that is Afinia.
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There are many reasons, but perhaps
the most important is in our department we
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have two power generating companies Hurra and
Ge about ninety- nine percent public capital.
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Today we do not have a direct
benefit from these companies. In our
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apartment we are at sea level.
Climate conditions are therefore different from other regions.
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We support the highest temperatures and thermal
sensations of our department that even exceed
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forty degrees Celsius. They are charging
us investments, expansion of unexecuted network,
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they charge us losses without doing the
respective management to avoid this loss. And
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we have the least reliable, most
unstable and lowest quality service throughout the country.
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And what did the government say?
Responses to all these so- called
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approaches and concerns have been several.
In January, the Vice Minister of Energy
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Mines, Javier Campillo, said that
there will not be an increase in tariffs
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and there will not be a blackout. Andrés Camacho, Minister of Mines and
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Energy, said that to Bro Comillas, according to the simulations and projections that
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the idea has, this period of
February will be the hardest. We would
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then have a preparation for these conditions
of two more months and the simulation we
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have of the reservoirs. If the
national energy system today allows us to affirm
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that we have energy supply for the
country, we can guarantee energy security by
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closing quotation marks. In January,
CRETA tested a transitional and voluntary measure that
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allows the direct hiring of marketers and
generators for a period of up to two
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years. According to Omar Prias,
executive director of crec aurocomillas, typically twenty
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percent of the country' s energy
is traded on the stock market, while
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eighty percent is sold on pre-
established contracts. During events like the child,
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stock exchange prices tend to increase significantly
and suddenly with this initiative Our goal
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is to reduce this impact, so
that users do not experience abrupt increases in
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their bills I close quotes. Meanwhile, in Congress there are three initiatives that
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seek to reduce energy tariff prices.
One of them is that of the Congressmen
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of the Caribbean Bank. They eradicated
a bill that seeks to regulate the cost
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of electricity. The text seeks to
modify the tariff formulas in order to reach
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a point of equilibrium in favor of
companies and users and in which technical and
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non- technical losses do not impact
the pocket of Colombians who are assumed by
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the operator. On the other hand, Senator Gustavo Moreno led a clean energy
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project that seeks to create a third
thermal floor to guarantee an equitable distribution of
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the minimum consumption of some Colombians.
According to the Superintendent of Public Services,
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Dagoberto Quiroga, in a column published
in a portfolio by Bro Comillas, the
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Constitution is explicit in that they are
one of the areas of the economy in
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which the State must intervene and that
regulation and inspection are the responsibility of the
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President of the Cierro Comillas Republic.
In other words, the reform wants to
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give more power to the President to
regulate the public services of Tinoremente, last
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Tuesday, the Minister of Energy Mines
and the Minister of Environments Use Mohammad,
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among other officials, were called to
debate political control in plenary of the Senate
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to discuss the tariffs of energy and
other public services. Minister Andrés Camacho said,
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among other things, not much more
concrete than abrocomillas. The Government of
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change assumed with responsibility the task of
achieving fair rates. We call for a
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national agreement for fair tariffs so that
all political sectors can join efforts to protect
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the users who shut down comillas,
the unions of energy generation and distribution,
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00:24:37.799 --> 00:24:44.200
commandesco a coolgen andec a, socodis
and naturgas, who have also done their
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part. And in a letter addressed
to President Petro they sent him five proposals
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to lower users' energy rates in
the Caribbean. The first is that the
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two five trillion pesos that the users
of the Caribbean region have not paid to
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the companies for the option of NS
tariff and allocate a billion pesos to the
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two providers of the energy service of
the region to cover fifty percent of the
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value of the average component of losses
over the next six months. The second
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proposal of the unions is that there
be more conditions for new investments in current
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and future energy projects to enter the
operation, to ensure availability of natural gas,
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better security conditions and to appoint the
six experts commissioned from the CREC.
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The third proposal is to take care
of the energy service, to strengthen the
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penalties for energy theft, to reject
any act that the citizens take against the
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infrastructure and to conduct an energy efficient
campaign. The fourth proposal is the payment
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of the official debt and of constitutionally
protected users, which amounts to about 350
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billion pesos. And the fifth proposal
is to reduce the value of local taxes,
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such as public lighting security tax.
Every actor has his proposal and,
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although everyone seems to want the same
thing, they do not agree on what
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is best. In conclusion, he
wants to talk about the clean energy projects
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that the government promoted and that have
been one of its campaign flags. In
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his speech during the opening of the
solar park, with four hundred thousand panels
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on the Cesar hill, the President
said that Bro Comillas, if we replace
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all thermoelectrics with clean energy. Automatically, the tariferectrica is lowered in Colombia by
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closing quotation marks. In an event
on the subject, the Minister of Mines
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also questioned that in the last ten
years it has not been possible to exceed
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00:26:40.720 --> 00:26:45.680
two percent of non- conventional energy
sources without considering hydroelectric power. And although
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wind and solar energy projects have advanced
in their construction, their start- up
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and contribution of energy to the system
has not been the expected, according to
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00:26:56.359 --> 00:27:00.799
Acorgén data, of the megawatt capacity
that was expected to contribute last year to
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the market. With these two technologies, only five percent came in. That
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is, there is a big difference
between what is expected of solar and wind
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energy projects and what they are contributing, and this for several reasons. Then
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there' s a chance there'
s a blackout. According to estimates,
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not in the short term, but
to follow the institutional vacuum in the belief
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that it cannot make decisions because it
does not have all the experts. As
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long as new energy generation projects do
not come into full operation and contribute what
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is expected, it may happen in
about two or three years, unlike thirty
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- one years ago. This time
all entities, companies and all actors related
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00:27:42.480 --> 00:27:48.599
to electricity supply are aware of what
can happen. If climate conditions, the
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non- implementation of new electricity generation
projects and the financial crisis are not solved.
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We can go back to a blackout. Fortunately, we are in time
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for the public and private sectors to
work hand in hand to prevent it from
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happening, even if this means preventing
the creation of another program such as the
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Lucierraga. I am Roberto Pombo and
this was chapter seventy- nine of my
334
00:28:14.279 --> 00:28:18.920
questions. See you in the next
chapter from now on. This chapter of
335
00:28:19.000 --> 00:28:26.440
my questions is available on all podcast
platforms. This episode was made possible thanks
336
00:28:26.640 --> 00:28:33.720
to Kafam inspiring Smiles. Dirección Roberto
Pombo, Producción General, Juan Abel Gutiérrez,
337
00:28:33.119 --> 00:28:38.319
Asesor editorial Daniel san Pero Espina scripts
juan Abel Gutiérrez y Johnny RodrÃguez,
338
00:28:38.799 --> 00:28:45.559
Producción de campo Marcela Salazar y LucÃa
Beltrán, postproducción de audio Carlos Bernar
1
00:00:01.080 --> 00:00:06.599
The day to day is full of
urgent news, noise, polemics and fanfare.
2
00:00:06.599 --> 00:00:11.240
But for the quietness, the analysis
and what we like to call slow
3
00:00:11.439 --> 00:00:18.719
- cooking journalism are my questions,
an average rush program made by KFAM inspiring
4
00:00:19.079 --> 00:00:31.079
smiles. The world is going through
a worrying stage of global warming, and
5
00:00:31.120 --> 00:00:34.719
that has brought a dry and heat
wave in Colombia. What concerns the power
6
00:00:34.759 --> 00:00:40.799
generating companies. An electric power outage
is possible in the country. Why the
7
00:00:40.840 --> 00:00:46.640
electric service has raised its price for
this chapter. We spoke with Angélica Gómez,
8
00:00:47.359 --> 00:00:51.640
journalist and co- founder of Economy
for the People, with Erasmozuleta,
9
00:00:51.799 --> 00:00:56.799
Governor of Córdoba, with Omar Prias, director of the Regulatory Commission for Energy
10
00:00:56.920 --> 00:01:00.679
and Gas Creck, and with Natalia
Gutierrez, President of the Colombian Sondas and
11
00:01:00.679 --> 00:01:07.319
power generators to Colgén. I'
m Roberto Pombo. Welcome to chapter seventy
12
00:01:07.480 --> 00:01:12.280
- nine of my questions. I' m a fan of the unexpected consequences.
13
00:01:14.000 --> 00:01:19.400
I will be more precise situations inventions
or revolutions that result from an event
14
00:01:19.480 --> 00:01:23.319
that has little to do with it. Some call it a maripous effect.
15
00:01:23.719 --> 00:01:26.799
I' m going to tell you
a couple who marvel at me and surprise
16
00:01:26.799 --> 00:01:32.840
you today. The Camambert and Rockefort
are a couple of French cheeses very controversial
17
00:01:32.920 --> 00:01:37.560
because of their taste, which have
the certificate of origin denomination i e they
18
00:01:37.959 --> 00:01:42.079
must be made under certain very specific
standards, and one of them is the
19
00:01:42.079 --> 00:01:47.840
origin of the products with which they
are prepared. Then it can only be
20
00:01:48.000 --> 00:01:53.480
said that a Skamamberg or Rockefort cheese
is ripened in the cellars near Roquefort Sursson,
21
00:01:53.280 --> 00:02:00.319
south of Abeirón, Occitania, this
means that only a few giant manufacturers
22
00:02:00.439 --> 00:02:04.680
now have almost the monopoly of cheese
production, which in turn has diminished the
23
00:02:04.719 --> 00:02:09.520
diversity of microorganisms in fungi used to
mature the product, i e the longo
24
00:02:09.560 --> 00:02:17.520
vinicillum. Roqueforti, that is,
the law of designation of origin that was
25
00:02:17.520 --> 00:02:23.120
established in one thousand nine hundred and
twenty- five, is about to cause
26
00:02:23.240 --> 00:02:28.719
a type of fungi to die out
along with a couple of cheese species and
27
00:02:28.800 --> 00:02:31.479
a closer example. And clear of
this butterfly effect, one of the most
28
00:02:31.560 --> 00:02:37.840
heard and still on the air radio
programs. The firefly would not have been
29
00:02:37.840 --> 00:02:40.800
possible, but one of the crudest
child phenomena in the history of Colombia was
30
00:02:42.159 --> 00:02:45.719
March of one thousand nine hundred ninety- two and the low water level in
31
00:02:45.759 --> 00:02:50.560
the reservoirs the overruns of the mega
hydro- elastic project of the Guabio,
32
00:02:50.960 --> 00:02:55.599
the assessment of the peso against the
dollar, during all the crisis of electricity
33
00:02:57.199 --> 00:03:01.039
interconnection, whether that led the country
to a situation of insufficient electricity. All
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00:03:01.120 --> 00:03:06.319
this took place at that time,
President César Gaviria, to decree a blackout,
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00:03:07.240 --> 00:03:09.919
that is, a nine- hour
power outage in Bogotá, ten hours
36
00:03:10.479 --> 00:03:15.199
in six departments of the Atlantic coast
and up to eighteen hours daily in San
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00:03:15.240 --> 00:03:21.360
Andrés and Providencia. It was these
nights without electricity and, consequently, without
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00:03:21.439 --> 00:03:24.599
television, that led to the birth
of a program to accompany Colombians in the
39
00:03:24.680 --> 00:03:31.639
dark. Once back to normal power
supply. The program continues until today from
40
00:03:31.680 --> 00:03:35.240
January of one thousand nine hundred and
ninety- three, when it ended.
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The country has not experienced a blackout
or an energy crisis. However, a
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few months ago, while the country
and the planet were going through a heat
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00:03:45.800 --> 00:03:50.319
crisis and a child phenomenon that hit
the country heavily, the ghost of a
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00:03:50.400 --> 00:03:54.400
possible blackout appeared in various media and
in the warnings of experts and energy-
45
00:03:55.080 --> 00:03:59.520
generating companies. In October last year, the S S S S Ons,
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00:03:59.639 --> 00:04:04.759
newspapers, news and Internet pages asked
themselves the same question. There' s
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00:04:04.800 --> 00:04:09.199
a risk of a blackout. Those
of us who live what happened thirty-
48
00:04:09.400 --> 00:04:13.639
one years ago are set off a
kind of alarm inside our being We are
49
00:04:13.719 --> 00:04:17.680
scared of that possibility and I don' t even want to imagine the younger
50
00:04:17.800 --> 00:04:23.160
ones having to live hours without electricity
and with the cell phone downloaded. The
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00:04:23.279 --> 00:04:27.560
answer to the question is not accurate
and is full of quite a few conditionals.
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00:04:28.160 --> 00:04:31.319
However, the first thing I thought
about was the very origin of the
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00:04:31.319 --> 00:04:34.720
question, that is, why there
is a possibility that that would happen.
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The explanations are several and all add
up to fuel fear and headlines. The
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00:04:42.199 --> 00:04:46.600
first applies to almost any sector of
the world economy and is the effect that
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00:04:46.720 --> 00:04:49.480
the invasion of Russia Ukraine had on
the cost of gas and on the coal
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market. According to experts, weight
assessment has also influenced, even though it
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00:04:55.639 --> 00:05:00.319
has recovered a little. Of course, the drought that across the country at
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that time and that had the levels
of the reservoirs in red numbers financial problems
60
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of the companies that are along the
entire chain of generation and distribution of energy.
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But what has been pointed out by
several of these actors as one of
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the most crucial elements are the problems
facing new energy generation projects in order to
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become operational. So, since this
is what is known as a multifactorial problem,
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that is, it has several reasons, we' re going to go
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looking at them in parts. Problems
in the energy sector did not start only
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one or two years ago. It
has been a chain of decisions and factors,
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but the most affected, as we
have almost always been the users.
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We are going back a few years
to that sad time of the pandemic.
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In two thousand twenty, President Iván
Duque implemented what is known as a tariff
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option, a mechanism to help alleviate
the abrupt increase in the electricity tariff through
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the accumulation of exits, which the
user will then pay in a wider period
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during the pandemic. The then President
issued Decree Five hundred and seventeen urging the
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Regulatory Commission for Energy and Gas CREK
to have temporary and extraordinary special schemes to
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defer payment of electricity bills for the
covid 19 pandemic. This meant that residents
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of tier one and tier two homes
could defer their electricity and fuel gas payments
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for up to thirty- six months. However, this measure has not been
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invented by the former Duke President since
a thousand nine hundred and ninety- four
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and has been used by other presidents
such asÃlvaro UrÃo and Juan Manuel Santos.
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However, the last time the measure
was used was the one that caused
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a stir from power generators and distributors
to President Petro himself have reacted. Why
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I' m going to try and
explain it. It happened that several electricity
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trading companies had to maintain this option
of deferred payments to installments as an option
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of payment, even after January of
two thousand twenty- two, until when
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it governed the mechanism. According to
Medio Colombia Check, the director of the
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energy engineering program of the Universidad Autónoma
de Bucaramanga César acevedo the measure was applied
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00:07:17.079 --> 00:07:24.399
interchangeably by energy marketers as long as
the user did not state that he did
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not want to accept it. And
so far you will wonder how this affected
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the finances of the electricity distribution companies. Well, since I am an expert,
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I looked for Angélica Gómez, a
journalist who founded economics for the Peopul
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00:07:40.279 --> 00:07:46.000
to explain to me and this told
me good. The tariff option is a
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mechanism that has been established in public
services for several decades and that is used
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in times of emergency to avoid precisely
situations such as the one of one thousand
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nine hundred ninety- two thousand nine
hundred ninety- three s NS. I
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' ll pay you in electric.
In this opportunity it was applied in two
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thousand twenty in the pandemic to prevent
a greater impact on the finances of Colombian
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households and in what I derive that
was in a big debts that the companies
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have or rather that we have the
consumers with the companies. That' s
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calculated at about five billion at the
moment alone for the Caribbean Coast is two
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five billion pesos and what it does
is add the financial pressure to companies to
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face situations like the one we'
re living now, the child phenomenon,
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which is a time of more expensive
energy, that companies must buy and distribute
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and then charge people and, at
the same time, continue to make the
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investments they need. The network to
stay in good condition and that the quality
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of service in most of the country
is maintained as it is in other regions,
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such as the Caribbean, as it
continues to improve. In August last
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year, when the phenomenon of the
child and the intense heat put the reservoir
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water reserves in red numbers, the
Colombian Association of Electrical Energy Distributors to SOCODIS
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warned in a letter from the Minister
of Miles de EnergÃa, Andrés Camacho,
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and the director of the Energy and
Gas Regulatory Commission, José Fernando Prada,
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that these financial problems of energy distribution
companies are derived from the tariff option and
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other debts of state entities that are
estimated at two billion pesos that aggravate the
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demand in cash flow and liquidity.
What came next, of course, more
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than looking for a solution, was
to look for a culprit and former President
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Duque, Diego Mesa' s former
Minister of Energy Mines and President Petro began
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a discussion by throwing the hot Pope
at each other. The fight was like
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that. He first attacked President Petro, who on his x account wrote a
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long publication that the Presidency then resumed
as a press release. I will read
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only a few layers to Euro Comillas. Fare action was created by Duque,
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in a similar way as he did
with the deficit and the gasoline fund,
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but in electrical energy. It decided
lower electricity rates than it should normally charge
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in covid times but it did so
not from the utilities of the electricity sector,
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but as a debt of users that
accumulated and that must now pay quotes.
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In addition, he said that energy
marketing companies are, for the most
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part, public and to pay them
they expect the Government to go up the
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tariffs above what should be charged to
users normally, but in times of the
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child phenomenon. The former Minister Mesa, for his part, replied that at
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the end of his portfolio he had
paid all the debts for subsidies caused by
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two thousand twenty- two thousand twenty- one for a value of approximately eight
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four million pesos. He also added
that until July thirty- one of two
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thousand twenty- two, the balance
of subsidius of electricity was five hundred seventy
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- four zero million pesos and not
five billion pesos, as was to be
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believed. The former president Duque did
not stand still, although his response,
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also through his account of x more
than an argument, was an indirect and
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00:11:13.120 --> 00:11:18.879
he repeated the publication of the supply
of mines with the message brocomillas to the
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00:11:18.960 --> 00:11:22.919
smoke curtains of populism. Once again, the truth gives them a lesson The
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00:11:22.320 --> 00:11:28.840
marketers are being broken by populism.
But, as the magazine Cambio explains,
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those payments that the former Minister Mesa
says, which were made, are part
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of the Ministry' s budget of
billions of energy and are made by mandate
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00:11:37.720 --> 00:11:41.000
of the law. The five million
pesos that are at financial risk to energy
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distributors are part of the debt left
by the tariff option and that the previous
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government did not pay. However,
I think that the former President Duque had
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no choice other than to apply the
tariff option. All this meant that,
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in addition to a possible blackout,
an increase in the energy bill of all
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users was going to happen. The
Cret' s response was the publication for
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comments of the draft resolution to intervene
the prisoners of energy on the stock exchange
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during the phenomenon of the child,
who sought quotation marks, to prevent the
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abuse of the dominant position of generators
participating in the energy exchange and the consequent
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formation of an inefficient exchange price I
close quotation marks. However, the criticisms
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did not wait, according to Alejandro
Lucio, director of Optimal Consultores Aurocomillas,
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00:12:30.200 --> 00:12:35.840
told Portfolio Alejandro Lucio, a price
control that, regardless of whether it seeks
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to favor users, what it will
do is to exhaust the water reserves to
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the bad ones and substantially increase the
risk of rationing I close quotes. At
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this time, this decree has not
been implemented. However, the CREG said
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that it has not archived it and
continues to study it. This is also
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a rather entangled subject. That'
s why Ana Tal Gutierrez, president of
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the Colombian Suso of Energy Generators,
called me to colqué for what she told
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me, why the decree of the
CREE to regulate the price of energy is
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inconvenient. This answered me. We
are at a time where there is a
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lot of uncertainty and where we have
to build confidence again. The first thing
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is to have a Creo that works, because it has been the proactive regulation
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of this sector that has allowed us
not to shut down. But, moreover,
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it is very important that there are
signs of medium- and long-
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term public policy and norms to give
us investor confidence. The approach to the
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amendment of the law one hundred and
forty- two and one hundred and forty
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- three is worrying, because the
stakes to be made in this sector are
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very long- term and if there
is no certainty under which rules they will
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make it, it is very difficult
to make these investments. Now add all
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the measures that have diminished the benefits
of non- conventional renewables and add to
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this that projects that were planned and
auctioned have not entered. The medium-
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term energy auction seems to have been
cut short. Then we also call for
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a review of energy balances to ensure
the attention of demand and give the signals
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of public policy so that the generation
park expands and can maintain demand, which
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is growing in an important way in
the country. Complaints about the price of
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energy service in Colombia have been a
constant, especially on the coast, but
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since last year the increase has been
noticed more. In September of two thousand
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twenty- three, the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development( OCTE) published
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figures on energy inflation for the month
of July of that year, in which
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Colombia appears as the second country with
the highest inflation twenty- two comma three
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percent and Hungary is the first.
President Petro reacted to this data and said
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that I open Comillas is really a
transfer of wealth from the bagels, from
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all Colombians and from the entire productive
economy to six generators and two distributors rewarded
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by a formula of the CREK absurdly
abushiva close Comillas. Paradoxically, according to
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the Atlantic Intergremial Committee, the decree
of the crecte that we have just talked
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about would end up increasing by twenty- five percent of the energy tariffs on
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the Colombian Caribbean coast. For its
part, the Colombian Association of Large Energy,
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Industrial and Commercial Consumers warned that the
decree would end up transferring to consumers
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and users of the energy system a
millionaire on cost of two four million pesos.
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To the measure was also opposed the
league of users of public services of
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the Caribbean. In fact, in
November last year, the counteroria expressed its
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concern about the institutional vacuum of the
CREC due to the lack of expert commissioners,
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which puts the Commission at imminent risk
of blacking out institution and could end
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up affecting public finances and users'
pockets. In Cristiano it means that the
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prices of the electricity will rise.
About a month and a half ago,
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a decision of the Administrative Court of
Cundinamarca ordered the Government to appoint the six
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expert commissioners that make up the Commission
within no more than thirty days Today,
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the Government has appointed four experts,
but only one of them on property.
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Without these experts being appointed and taking
up their duties, the Commission cannot take
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such important decisions as to avoid,
for example, an event of blackout or
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an imminent rise in service prices in
the face of the child. The concern
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about the rise in the price of
energy is such that even the Attorney General
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got into the issue in her intervention
at the event fair rates for the Caribbean.
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In January of this year he said
you abrocomillas. Energy tariffs in this
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area of the country will be fair
when charity services are provided at a rational
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cost and without discrimination, which will
only be possible when there is an inter
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- institutional unit that allows a balance
between economic sustainability and meeting the region'
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s energy needs. I' m
closing Comillas. Let' s hear what
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the solicitor said about the creck and
the energy prices on the coast. How
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many times all the citizens of the
Caribbean Coast have not contributed in any way
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to some great works at the national
level. Bogota Metro, Medellin Metro,
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and we could say many more good
situations for the country, where the whole
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country has contributed for the benefit of
a good work for a certain region.
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But how painful it may be that
once that solidarity is towards the Caribbean Coast,
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and what happens on the Caribbean Coast
is a case apart, because they
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are the most affected by the high
energy service and the most threatened by a
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possible blackout. A few days ago, the governor of the Atlantic, Eduardo
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Verano, referred to that problem and
proposed that the invoices of Aire and Afinia
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companies, which today the end users
assume, should be excluded. The Governor
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00:18:18.799 --> 00:18:22.519
also stated that it was not negotiated
and that no sensible person would have accepted
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that the chorus of such losses should
be billed to the public. This is
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an old and complex problem that needs
to be addressed differently from the rest of
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the country. In other words,
the problem of energy costs on the coast
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must be solved as a case of
solidarity and it must be the State that
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finances and the high costs and,
in the midst of everything, this pull
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and loosen in which everyone wants fair
rates and fair payments. Atlántico, Magdalena,
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Guajira, César, Córdoba and Sucre
submitted a right of petition to the
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superintendence of services, with which they
seek to sue the tariff formula established by
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the CREE. In response, according
to them, to the cry of the
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people of the Costa for social justice, we seek Omar PrÃas, director of
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the CREC, to answer what must
be done so that the end users are
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not the ones who receive the energy
price sauces. That' s what he
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said. The first thing we need
to know is that in many regions electricity
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services with charges that have nothing to
do with service are included in bills.
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For example, in some municipalities public
lighting is charged and we charge for aspects
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00:19:34.039 --> 00:19:38.200
of citizen security, toilet, aqueduct, choirs, electo, domesticos, seguros,
235
00:19:38.759 --> 00:19:42.880
funerarios. In short, some things
that are not of the service of
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energy and that can influence the imagination
of people believing that the invoice is only
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of the service of electricity. A
recent measure of the crez may have the
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rates salsas for opsuntarifaria. It is
also true that electricity companies have made long
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- term contrarys in order not to
expose users to fluctuations in the stock exchange.
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He believes her. It has a
plan to review all components of the
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cost of the fee to look for
possible exchange factors to reduce electricity service bills.
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I also looked for the Governor of
Cordoba. You were musulette to ask
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why the Colombian coast needs differential energy
prices. This one answered me to the
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Caribbean Coast, but in particular,
our department of Cordoba must have differential rates
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in electricity or adjust the approved tariff
structure to the operator that is Afinia.
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There are many reasons, but perhaps
the most important is in our department we
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have two power generating companies Hurra and
Ge about ninety- nine percent public capital.
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Today we do not have a direct
benefit from these companies. In our
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apartment we are at sea level.
Climate conditions are therefore different from other regions.
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We support the highest temperatures and thermal
sensations of our department that even exceed
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forty degrees Celsius. They are charging
us investments, expansion of unexecuted network,
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they charge us losses without doing the
respective management to avoid this loss. And
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we have the least reliable, most
unstable and lowest quality service throughout the country.
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And what did the government say?
Responses to all these so- called
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approaches and concerns have been several.
In January, the Vice Minister of Energy
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Mines, Javier Campillo, said that
there will not be an increase in tariffs
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and there will not be a blackout. Andrés Camacho, Minister of Mines and
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Energy, said that to Bro Comillas, according to the simulations and projections that
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the idea has, this period of
February will be the hardest. We would
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then have a preparation for these conditions
of two more months and the simulation we
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have of the reservoirs. If the
national energy system today allows us to affirm
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that we have energy supply for the
country, we can guarantee energy security by
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closing quotation marks. In January,
CRETA tested a transitional and voluntary measure that
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allows the direct hiring of marketers and
generators for a period of up to two
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years. According to Omar Prias,
executive director of crec aurocomillas, typically twenty
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percent of the country' s energy
is traded on the stock market, while
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eighty percent is sold on pre-
established contracts. During events like the child,
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stock exchange prices tend to increase significantly
and suddenly with this initiative Our goal
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is to reduce this impact, so
that users do not experience abrupt increases in
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their bills I close quotes. Meanwhile, in Congress there are three initiatives that
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seek to reduce energy tariff prices.
One of them is that of the Congressmen
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of the Caribbean Bank. They eradicated
a bill that seeks to regulate the cost
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of electricity. The text seeks to
modify the tariff formulas in order to reach
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a point of equilibrium in favor of
companies and users and in which technical and
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non- technical losses do not impact
the pocket of Colombians who are assumed by
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the operator. On the other hand, Senator Gustavo Moreno led a clean energy
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project that seeks to create a third
thermal floor to guarantee an equitable distribution of
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the minimum consumption of some Colombians.
According to the Superintendent of Public Services,
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Dagoberto Quiroga, in a column published
in a portfolio by Bro Comillas, the
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Constitution is explicit in that they are
one of the areas of the economy in
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which the State must intervene and that
regulation and inspection are the responsibility of the
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President of the Cierro Comillas Republic.
In other words, the reform wants to
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give more power to the President to
regulate the public services of Tinoremente, last
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Tuesday, the Minister of Energy Mines
and the Minister of Environments Use Mohammad,
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among other officials, were called to
debate political control in plenary of the Senate
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to discuss the tariffs of energy and
other public services. Minister Andrés Camacho said,
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among other things, not much more
concrete than abrocomillas. The Government of
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change assumed with responsibility the task of
achieving fair rates. We call for a
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national agreement for fair tariffs so that
all political sectors can join efforts to protect
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the users who shut down comillas,
the unions of energy generation and distribution,
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commandesco a coolgen andec a, socodis
and naturgas, who have also done their
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part. And in a letter addressed
to President Petro they sent him five proposals
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to lower users' energy rates in
the Caribbean. The first is that the
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two five trillion pesos that the users
of the Caribbean region have not paid to
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the companies for the option of NS
tariff and allocate a billion pesos to the
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two providers of the energy service of
the region to cover fifty percent of the
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value of the average component of losses
over the next six months. The second
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proposal of the unions is that there
be more conditions for new investments in current
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and future energy projects to enter the
operation, to ensure availability of natural gas,
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better security conditions and to appoint the
six experts commissioned from the CREC.
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The third proposal is to take care
of the energy service, to strengthen the
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penalties for energy theft, to reject
any act that the citizens take against the
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infrastructure and to conduct an energy efficient
campaign. The fourth proposal is the payment
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of the official debt and of constitutionally
protected users, which amounts to about 350
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billion pesos. And the fifth proposal
is to reduce the value of local taxes,
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such as public lighting security tax.
Every actor has his proposal and,
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although everyone seems to want the same
thing, they do not agree on what
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is best. In conclusion, he
wants to talk about the clean energy projects
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that the government promoted and that have
been one of its campaign flags. In
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his speech during the opening of the
solar park, with four hundred thousand panels
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on the Cesar hill, the President
said that Bro Comillas, if we replace
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all thermoelectrics with clean energy. Automatically, the tariferectrica is lowered in Colombia by
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closing quotation marks. In an event
on the subject, the Minister of Mines
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also questioned that in the last ten
years it has not been possible to exceed
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two percent of non- conventional energy
sources without considering hydroelectric power. And although
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wind and solar energy projects have advanced
in their construction, their start- up
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and contribution of energy to the system
has not been the expected, according to
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Acorgén data, of the megawatt capacity
that was expected to contribute last year to
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the market. With these two technologies, only five percent came in. That
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is, there is a big difference
between what is expected of solar and wind
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energy projects and what they are contributing, and this for several reasons. Then
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there' s a chance there'
s a blackout. According to estimates,
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not in the short term, but
to follow the institutional vacuum in the belief
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that it cannot make decisions because it
does not have all the experts. As
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long as new energy generation projects do
not come into full operation and contribute what
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is expected, it may happen in
about two or three years, unlike thirty
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- one years ago. This time
all entities, companies and all actors related
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to electricity supply are aware of what
can happen. If climate conditions, the
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non- implementation of new electricity generation
projects and the financial crisis are not solved.
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We can go back to a blackout. Fortunately, we are in time
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for the public and private sectors to
work hand in hand to prevent it from
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happening, even if this means preventing
the creation of another program such as the
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Lucierraga. I am Roberto Pombo and
this was chapter seventy- nine of my
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questions. See you in the next
chapter from now on. This chapter of
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my questions is available on all podcast
platforms. This episode was made possible thanks
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to Kafam inspiring Smiles. Dirección Roberto
Pombo, Producción General, Juan Abel Gutiérrez,
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00:28:33.119 --> 00:28:38.319
Asesor editorial Daniel san Pero Espina scripts
juan Abel Gutiérrez y Johnny RodrÃguez,
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Producción de campo Marcela Salazar y LucÃa
Beltrán, postproducción de audio Carlos Bernar