March 17, 2024

¿Hay posibilidad de que haya un apagón en Colombia?

¿Hay posibilidad de que haya un apagón en Colombia?
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El mundo atraviesa por una etapa preocupante del calentamiento global y eso ha traído una ola seca y de calor en Colombia, lo que preocupa a las empresas generadoras eléctricas. ¿Es posible un apagón eléctrico en el país?, ¿por qué el servicio eléctrico ha subido su precio?

Para este capítulo hablamos con Angélica Gómez, periodista y cofundadora de Economía para la pipol; con Erasmo Zuleta, Gobernador de Córdoba; con Omar Prias, director de la Comisión Reguladora de Energía y Gas, CREG; y con Natalia Gutiérrez, presidenta de la Asociación Colombiana de Generadores de Energía (Acolgen).

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The day to day is full of
urgent news, noise, polemics and fanfare.

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But for the quietness, the analysis
and what we like to call slow

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- cooking journalism are my questions,
an average rush program made by KFAM inspiring

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smiles. The world is going through
a worrying stage of global warming, and

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that has brought a dry and heat
wave in Colombia. What concerns the power

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generating companies. An electric power outage
is possible in the country. Why the

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electric service has raised its price for
this chapter. We spoke with Angélica Gómez,

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journalist and co- founder of Economy
for the People, with Erasmozuleta,

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Governor of Córdoba, with Omar Prias, director of the Regulatory Commission for Energy

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and Gas Creck, and with Natalia
Gutierrez, President of the Colombian Sondas and

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power generators to Colgén. I'
m Roberto Pombo. Welcome to chapter seventy

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- nine of my questions. I' m a fan of the unexpected consequences.

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I will be more precise situations inventions
or revolutions that result from an event

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that has little to do with it. Some call it a maripous effect.

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I' m going to tell you
a couple who marvel at me and surprise

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you today. The Camambert and Rockefort
are a couple of French cheeses very controversial

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because of their taste, which have
the certificate of origin denomination i e they

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must be made under certain very specific
standards, and one of them is the

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origin of the products with which they
are prepared. Then it can only be

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said that a Skamamberg or Rockefort cheese
is ripened in the cellars near Roquefort Sursson,

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south of Abeirón, Occitania, this
means that only a few giant manufacturers

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now have almost the monopoly of cheese
production, which in turn has diminished the

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diversity of microorganisms in fungi used to
mature the product, i e the longo

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vinicillum. Roqueforti, that is,
the law of designation of origin that was

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established in one thousand nine hundred and
twenty- five, is about to cause

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a type of fungi to die out
along with a couple of cheese species and

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a closer example. And clear of
this butterfly effect, one of the most

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heard and still on the air radio
programs. The firefly would not have been

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possible, but one of the crudest
child phenomena in the history of Colombia was

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March of one thousand nine hundred ninety- two and the low water level in

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the reservoirs the overruns of the mega
hydro- elastic project of the Guabio,

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the assessment of the peso against the
dollar, during all the crisis of electricity

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interconnection, whether that led the country
to a situation of insufficient electricity. All

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this took place at that time,
President César Gaviria, to decree a blackout,

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that is, a nine- hour
power outage in Bogotá, ten hours

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in six departments of the Atlantic coast
and up to eighteen hours daily in San

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Andrés and Providencia. It was these
nights without electricity and, consequently, without

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television, that led to the birth
of a program to accompany Colombians in the

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dark. Once back to normal power
supply. The program continues until today from

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January of one thousand nine hundred and
ninety- three, when it ended.

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The country has not experienced a blackout
or an energy crisis. However, a

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few months ago, while the country
and the planet were going through a heat

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crisis and a child phenomenon that hit
the country heavily, the ghost of a

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possible blackout appeared in various media and
in the warnings of experts and energy-

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generating companies. In October last year, the S S S S Ons,

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newspapers, news and Internet pages asked
themselves the same question. There' s

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a risk of a blackout. Those
of us who live what happened thirty-

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one years ago are set off a
kind of alarm inside our being We are

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scared of that possibility and I don' t even want to imagine the younger

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ones having to live hours without electricity
and with the cell phone downloaded. The

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answer to the question is not accurate
and is full of quite a few conditionals.

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However, the first thing I thought
about was the very origin of the

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question, that is, why there
is a possibility that that would happen.

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The explanations are several and all add
up to fuel fear and headlines. The

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first applies to almost any sector of
the world economy and is the effect that

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the invasion of Russia Ukraine had on
the cost of gas and on the coal

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market. According to experts, weight
assessment has also influenced, even though it

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has recovered a little. Of course, the drought that across the country at

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that time and that had the levels
of the reservoirs in red numbers financial problems

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of the companies that are along the
entire chain of generation and distribution of energy.

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But what has been pointed out by
several of these actors as one of

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the most crucial elements are the problems
facing new energy generation projects in order to

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become operational. So, since this
is what is known as a multifactorial problem,

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that is, it has several reasons, we' re going to go

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looking at them in parts. Problems
in the energy sector did not start only

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one or two years ago. It
has been a chain of decisions and factors,

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but the most affected, as we
have almost always been the users.

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We are going back a few years
to that sad time of the pandemic.

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In two thousand twenty, President Iván
Duque implemented what is known as a tariff

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option, a mechanism to help alleviate
the abrupt increase in the electricity tariff through

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the accumulation of exits, which the
user will then pay in a wider period

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during the pandemic. The then President
issued Decree Five hundred and seventeen urging the

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Regulatory Commission for Energy and Gas CREK
to have temporary and extraordinary special schemes to

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defer payment of electricity bills for the
covid 19 pandemic. This meant that residents

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of tier one and tier two homes
could defer their electricity and fuel gas payments

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for up to thirty- six months. However, this measure has not been

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invented by the former Duke President since
a thousand nine hundred and ninety- four

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and has been used by other presidents
such asÁlvaro Urío and Juan Manuel Santos.

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However, the last time the measure
was used was the one that caused

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a stir from power generators and distributors
to President Petro himself have reacted. Why

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I' m going to try and
explain it. It happened that several electricity

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trading companies had to maintain this option
of deferred payments to installments as an option

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of payment, even after January of
two thousand twenty- two, until when

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it governed the mechanism. According to
Medio Colombia Check, the director of the

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energy engineering program of the Universidad Autónoma
de Bucaramanga César acevedo the measure was applied

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interchangeably by energy marketers as long as
the user did not state that he did

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not want to accept it. And
so far you will wonder how this affected

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the finances of the electricity distribution companies. Well, since I am an expert,

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I looked for Angélica Gómez, a
journalist who founded economics for the Peopul

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to explain to me and this told
me good. The tariff option is a

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mechanism that has been established in public
services for several decades and that is used

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in times of emergency to avoid precisely
situations such as the one of one thousand

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nine hundred ninety- two thousand nine
hundred ninety- three s NS. I

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' ll pay you in electric.
In this opportunity it was applied in two

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thousand twenty in the pandemic to prevent
a greater impact on the finances of Colombian

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households and in what I derive that
was in a big debts that the companies

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have or rather that we have the
consumers with the companies. That' s

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calculated at about five billion at the
moment alone for the Caribbean Coast is two

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five billion pesos and what it does
is add the financial pressure to companies to

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face situations like the one we'
re living now, the child phenomenon,

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which is a time of more expensive
energy, that companies must buy and distribute

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and then charge people and, at
the same time, continue to make the

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investments they need. The network to
stay in good condition and that the quality

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of service in most of the country
is maintained as it is in other regions,

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such as the Caribbean, as it
continues to improve. In August last

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year, when the phenomenon of the
child and the intense heat put the reservoir

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water reserves in red numbers, the
Colombian Association of Electrical Energy Distributors to SOCODIS

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warned in a letter from the Minister
of Miles de Energía, Andrés Camacho,

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and the director of the Energy and
Gas Regulatory Commission, José Fernando Prada,

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that these financial problems of energy distribution
companies are derived from the tariff option and

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other debts of state entities that are
estimated at two billion pesos that aggravate the

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demand in cash flow and liquidity.
What came next, of course, more

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than looking for a solution, was
to look for a culprit and former President

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Duque, Diego Mesa' s former
Minister of Energy Mines and President Petro began

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a discussion by throwing the hot Pope
at each other. The fight was like

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that. He first attacked President Petro, who on his x account wrote a

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long publication that the Presidency then resumed
as a press release. I will read

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only a few layers to Euro Comillas. Fare action was created by Duque,

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in a similar way as he did
with the deficit and the gasoline fund,

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but in electrical energy. It decided
lower electricity rates than it should normally charge

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in covid times but it did so
not from the utilities of the electricity sector,

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but as a debt of users that
accumulated and that must now pay quotes.

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In addition, he said that energy
marketing companies are, for the most

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part, public and to pay them
they expect the Government to go up the

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tariffs above what should be charged to
users normally, but in times of the

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child phenomenon. The former Minister Mesa, for his part, replied that at

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the end of his portfolio he had
paid all the debts for subsidies caused by

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two thousand twenty- two thousand twenty- one for a value of approximately eight

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four million pesos. He also added
that until July thirty- one of two

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thousand twenty- two, the balance
of subsidius of electricity was five hundred seventy

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- four zero million pesos and not
five billion pesos, as was to be

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believed. The former president Duque did
not stand still, although his response,

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also through his account of x more
than an argument, was an indirect and

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he repeated the publication of the supply
of mines with the message brocomillas to the

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smoke curtains of populism. Once again, the truth gives them a lesson The

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marketers are being broken by populism.
But, as the magazine Cambio explains,

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those payments that the former Minister Mesa
says, which were made, are part

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of the Ministry' s budget of
billions of energy and are made by mandate

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of the law. The five million
pesos that are at financial risk to energy

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distributors are part of the debt left
by the tariff option and that the previous

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government did not pay. However,
I think that the former President Duque had

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no choice other than to apply the
tariff option. All this meant that,

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in addition to a possible blackout,
an increase in the energy bill of all

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users was going to happen. The
Cret' s response was the publication for

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comments of the draft resolution to intervene
the prisoners of energy on the stock exchange

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during the phenomenon of the child,
who sought quotation marks, to prevent the

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abuse of the dominant position of generators
participating in the energy exchange and the consequent

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formation of an inefficient exchange price I
close quotation marks. However, the criticisms

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did not wait, according to Alejandro
Lucio, director of Optimal Consultores Aurocomillas,

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told Portfolio Alejandro Lucio, a price
control that, regardless of whether it seeks

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to favor users, what it will
do is to exhaust the water reserves to

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the bad ones and substantially increase the
risk of rationing I close quotes. At

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this time, this decree has not
been implemented. However, the CREG said

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that it has not archived it and
continues to study it. This is also

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a rather entangled subject. That'
s why Ana Tal Gutierrez, president of

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the Colombian Suso of Energy Generators,
called me to colqué for what she told

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me, why the decree of the
CREE to regulate the price of energy is

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inconvenient. This answered me. We
are at a time where there is a

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lot of uncertainty and where we have
to build confidence again. The first thing

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is to have a Creo that works, because it has been the proactive regulation

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of this sector that has allowed us
not to shut down. But, moreover,

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it is very important that there are
signs of medium- and long-

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term public policy and norms to give
us investor confidence. The approach to the

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amendment of the law one hundred and
forty- two and one hundred and forty

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- three is worrying, because the
stakes to be made in this sector are

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very long- term and if there
is no certainty under which rules they will

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make it, it is very difficult
to make these investments. Now add all

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the measures that have diminished the benefits
of non- conventional renewables and add to

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this that projects that were planned and
auctioned have not entered. The medium-

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term energy auction seems to have been
cut short. Then we also call for

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a review of energy balances to ensure
the attention of demand and give the signals

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of public policy so that the generation
park expands and can maintain demand, which

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is growing in an important way in
the country. Complaints about the price of

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energy service in Colombia have been a
constant, especially on the coast, but

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since last year the increase has been
noticed more. In September of two thousand

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twenty- three, the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development( OCTE) published

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figures on energy inflation for the month
of July of that year, in which

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Colombia appears as the second country with
the highest inflation twenty- two comma three

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percent and Hungary is the first.
President Petro reacted to this data and said

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that I open Comillas is really a
transfer of wealth from the bagels, from

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all Colombians and from the entire productive
economy to six generators and two distributors rewarded

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by a formula of the CREK absurdly
abushiva close Comillas. Paradoxically, according to

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the Atlantic Intergremial Committee, the decree
of the crecte that we have just talked

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about would end up increasing by twenty- five percent of the energy tariffs on

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the Colombian Caribbean coast. For its
part, the Colombian Association of Large Energy,

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Industrial and Commercial Consumers warned that the
decree would end up transferring to consumers

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and users of the energy system a
millionaire on cost of two four million pesos.

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To the measure was also opposed the
league of users of public services of

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the Caribbean. In fact, in
November last year, the counteroria expressed its

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concern about the institutional vacuum of the
CREC due to the lack of expert commissioners,

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which puts the Commission at imminent risk
of blacking out institution and could end

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up affecting public finances and users'
pockets. In Cristiano it means that the

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prices of the electricity will rise.
About a month and a half ago,

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a decision of the Administrative Court of
Cundinamarca ordered the Government to appoint the six

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expert commissioners that make up the Commission
within no more than thirty days Today,

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the Government has appointed four experts,
but only one of them on property.

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Without these experts being appointed and taking
up their duties, the Commission cannot take

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such important decisions as to avoid,
for example, an event of blackout or

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an imminent rise in service prices in
the face of the child. The concern

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about the rise in the price of
energy is such that even the Attorney General

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got into the issue in her intervention
at the event fair rates for the Caribbean.

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In January of this year he said
you abrocomillas. Energy tariffs in this

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area of the country will be fair
when charity services are provided at a rational

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cost and without discrimination, which will
only be possible when there is an inter

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- institutional unit that allows a balance
between economic sustainability and meeting the region'

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s energy needs. I' m
closing Comillas. Let' s hear what

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the solicitor said about the creck and
the energy prices on the coast. How

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many times all the citizens of the
Caribbean Coast have not contributed in any way

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to some great works at the national
level. Bogota Metro, Medellin Metro,

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and we could say many more good
situations for the country, where the whole

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country has contributed for the benefit of
a good work for a certain region.

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But how painful it may be that
once that solidarity is towards the Caribbean Coast,

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and what happens on the Caribbean Coast
is a case apart, because they

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are the most affected by the high
energy service and the most threatened by a

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possible blackout. A few days ago, the governor of the Atlantic, Eduardo

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Verano, referred to that problem and
proposed that the invoices of Aire and Afinia

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companies, which today the end users
assume, should be excluded. The Governor

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also stated that it was not negotiated
and that no sensible person would have accepted

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that the chorus of such losses should
be billed to the public. This is

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an old and complex problem that needs
to be addressed differently from the rest of

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the country. In other words,
the problem of energy costs on the coast

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must be solved as a case of
solidarity and it must be the State that

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finances and the high costs and,
in the midst of everything, this pull

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and loosen in which everyone wants fair
rates and fair payments. Atlántico, Magdalena,

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Guajira, César, Córdoba and Sucre
submitted a right of petition to the

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superintendence of services, with which they
seek to sue the tariff formula established by

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the CREE. In response, according
to them, to the cry of the

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people of the Costa for social justice, we seek Omar Prías, director of

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the CREC, to answer what must
be done so that the end users are

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not the ones who receive the energy
price sauces. That' s what he

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said. The first thing we need
to know is that in many regions electricity

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services with charges that have nothing to
do with service are included in bills.

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For example, in some municipalities public
lighting is charged and we charge for aspects

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of citizen security, toilet, aqueduct, choirs, electo, domesticos, seguros,

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funerarios. In short, some things
that are not of the service of

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energy and that can influence the imagination
of people believing that the invoice is only

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of the service of electricity. A
recent measure of the crez may have the

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rates salsas for opsuntarifaria. It is
also true that electricity companies have made long

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- term contrarys in order not to
expose users to fluctuations in the stock exchange.

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He believes her. It has a
plan to review all components of the

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cost of the fee to look for
possible exchange factors to reduce electricity service bills.

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I also looked for the Governor of
Cordoba. You were musulette to ask

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why the Colombian coast needs differential energy
prices. This one answered me to the

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Caribbean Coast, but in particular,
our department of Cordoba must have differential rates

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in electricity or adjust the approved tariff
structure to the operator that is Afinia.

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There are many reasons, but perhaps
the most important is in our department we

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have two power generating companies Hurra and
Ge about ninety- nine percent public capital.

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Today we do not have a direct
benefit from these companies. In our

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apartment we are at sea level.
Climate conditions are therefore different from other regions.

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We support the highest temperatures and thermal
sensations of our department that even exceed

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forty degrees Celsius. They are charging
us investments, expansion of unexecuted network,

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they charge us losses without doing the
respective management to avoid this loss. And

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we have the least reliable, most
unstable and lowest quality service throughout the country.

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And what did the government say?
Responses to all these so- called

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approaches and concerns have been several.
In January, the Vice Minister of Energy

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Mines, Javier Campillo, said that
there will not be an increase in tariffs

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and there will not be a blackout. Andrés Camacho, Minister of Mines and

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Energy, said that to Bro Comillas, according to the simulations and projections that

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the idea has, this period of
February will be the hardest. We would

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then have a preparation for these conditions
of two more months and the simulation we

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have of the reservoirs. If the
national energy system today allows us to affirm

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that we have energy supply for the
country, we can guarantee energy security by

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closing quotation marks. In January,
CRETA tested a transitional and voluntary measure that

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allows the direct hiring of marketers and
generators for a period of up to two

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years. According to Omar Prias,
executive director of crec aurocomillas, typically twenty

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percent of the country' s energy
is traded on the stock market, while

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eighty percent is sold on pre-
established contracts. During events like the child,

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stock exchange prices tend to increase significantly
and suddenly with this initiative Our goal

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is to reduce this impact, so
that users do not experience abrupt increases in

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their bills I close quotes. Meanwhile, in Congress there are three initiatives that

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seek to reduce energy tariff prices.
One of them is that of the Congressmen

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of the Caribbean Bank. They eradicated
a bill that seeks to regulate the cost

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of electricity. The text seeks to
modify the tariff formulas in order to reach

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a point of equilibrium in favor of
companies and users and in which technical and

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non- technical losses do not impact
the pocket of Colombians who are assumed by

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the operator. On the other hand, Senator Gustavo Moreno led a clean energy

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project that seeks to create a third
thermal floor to guarantee an equitable distribution of

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the minimum consumption of some Colombians.
According to the Superintendent of Public Services,

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Dagoberto Quiroga, in a column published
in a portfolio by Bro Comillas, the

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Constitution is explicit in that they are
one of the areas of the economy in

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which the State must intervene and that
regulation and inspection are the responsibility of the

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President of the Cierro Comillas Republic.
In other words, the reform wants to

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give more power to the President to
regulate the public services of Tinoremente, last

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Tuesday, the Minister of Energy Mines
and the Minister of Environments Use Mohammad,

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among other officials, were called to
debate political control in plenary of the Senate

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to discuss the tariffs of energy and
other public services. Minister Andrés Camacho said,

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among other things, not much more
concrete than abrocomillas. The Government of

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change assumed with responsibility the task of
achieving fair rates. We call for a

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national agreement for fair tariffs so that
all political sectors can join efforts to protect

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the users who shut down comillas,
the unions of energy generation and distribution,

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commandesco a coolgen andec a, socodis
and naturgas, who have also done their

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part. And in a letter addressed
to President Petro they sent him five proposals

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to lower users' energy rates in
the Caribbean. The first is that the

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two five trillion pesos that the users
of the Caribbean region have not paid to

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the companies for the option of NS
tariff and allocate a billion pesos to the

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two providers of the energy service of
the region to cover fifty percent of the

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value of the average component of losses
over the next six months. The second

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proposal of the unions is that there
be more conditions for new investments in current

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and future energy projects to enter the
operation, to ensure availability of natural gas,

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better security conditions and to appoint the
six experts commissioned from the CREC.

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The third proposal is to take care
of the energy service, to strengthen the

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penalties for energy theft, to reject
any act that the citizens take against the

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infrastructure and to conduct an energy efficient
campaign. The fourth proposal is the payment

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of the official debt and of constitutionally
protected users, which amounts to about 350

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billion pesos. And the fifth proposal
is to reduce the value of local taxes,

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such as public lighting security tax.
Every actor has his proposal and,

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although everyone seems to want the same
thing, they do not agree on what

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is best. In conclusion, he
wants to talk about the clean energy projects

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that the government promoted and that have
been one of its campaign flags. In

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his speech during the opening of the
solar park, with four hundred thousand panels

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on the Cesar hill, the President
said that Bro Comillas, if we replace

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all thermoelectrics with clean energy. Automatically, the tariferectrica is lowered in Colombia by

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closing quotation marks. In an event
on the subject, the Minister of Mines

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also questioned that in the last ten
years it has not been possible to exceed

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two percent of non- conventional energy
sources without considering hydroelectric power. And although

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wind and solar energy projects have advanced
in their construction, their start- up

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and contribution of energy to the system
has not been the expected, according to

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Acorgén data, of the megawatt capacity
that was expected to contribute last year to

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the market. With these two technologies, only five percent came in. That

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is, there is a big difference
between what is expected of solar and wind

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energy projects and what they are contributing, and this for several reasons. Then

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there' s a chance there'
s a blackout. According to estimates,

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not in the short term, but
to follow the institutional vacuum in the belief

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that it cannot make decisions because it
does not have all the experts. As

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long as new energy generation projects do
not come into full operation and contribute what

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is expected, it may happen in
about two or three years, unlike thirty

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- one years ago. This time
all entities, companies and all actors related

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to electricity supply are aware of what
can happen. If climate conditions, the

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non- implementation of new electricity generation
projects and the financial crisis are not solved.

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We can go back to a blackout. Fortunately, we are in time

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for the public and private sectors to
work hand in hand to prevent it from

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happening, even if this means preventing
the creation of another program such as the

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Lucierraga. I am Roberto Pombo and
this was chapter seventy- nine of my

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questions. See you in the next
chapter from now on. This chapter of

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00:28:19.000 --> 00:28:26.440
my questions is available on all podcast
platforms. This episode was made possible thanks

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00:28:26.640 --> 00:28:33.720
to Kafam inspiring Smiles. Dirección Roberto
Pombo, Producción General, Juan Abel Gutiérrez,

337
00:28:33.119 --> 00:28:38.319
Asesor editorial Daniel san Pero Espina scripts
juan Abel Gutiérrez y Johnny Rodríguez,

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00:28:38.799 --> 00:28:45.559
Producción de campo Marcela Salazar y Lucía
Beltrán, postproducción de audio Carlos Bernar